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Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

View on Polymarketus-politicsActiveWhales BEARISH(4)
Volume
$1,241,071
Total Bets
23155
Unique Traders
1760
Avg Price
47c
Buy / Sell
63%/37%
Alerts
6
Volume Sentiment
YES 767.5K
NO 473.6K
Smart Money Intelligence
Whale Sentiment
BEARISH
4 whales
Whale Volume
65.7
YES 3% / NO 97%
Avg Holder WR
67%
20 with data
First trade: 8 months agoLast: about 7 hours ago
WalletScoreSideSizeWhen
MED 40YES$2013 months ago
MED 40YES$1333 months ago
HIGH 55YES$4183 months ago
MED 40NO$1,729about 1 month ago
MED 40NO$2,347about 1 month ago
HIGH 50NO$6,251about 1 month ago
WalletSidePriceSizeTime
0xb556e040YES0¢$0about 7 hours ago
0x2605de95NO100¢$3about 7 hours ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$0about 9 hours ago
0xe39d45f3NO100¢$7about 9 hours ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$01 day ago
0x4ac038c6NO100¢$21 day ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$01 day ago
0xea2943e3NO100¢$11 day ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$02 days ago
0x1055de23NO100¢$42 days ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$12 days ago
0x4c861ed3NO100¢$8882 days ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$03 days ago
0xeffbc58cNO100¢$73 days ago
0x766657ecYES0¢$04 days ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$04 days ago
0xa2e0d185NO100¢$94 days ago
0x4b50be13YES0¢$15 days ago
0xb556e040YES0¢$15 days ago
0xb5459d97YES0¢$05 days ago

About this market

1,760 whale wallets have traded "Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $1.24M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 23155 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 62% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to SAPolitcsSeer at $71K. CrowdIntel has flagged 6 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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