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Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Polymarket Galaxyus-politicsActiveWhales BEARISH(4)
Volume
1.3M
Traders
1,113
Trades
23,684
Last trade
about 3 hours ago
first 10 months ago
50¢Yes0¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 1.1K buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR78%13 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 82% vs sellers 73% WR
Whale Flow
BEARISH4 whales · 11.8 vol
BUY 4.7
SELL 7.1
Buy side
40%
Sell side
60%
Order Flow
Buys
57% · 14,774
465.4K
Sells
43% · 8,910
345.4K
Pricesnapshot 1s agoDepth
0.1¢spread 0.0¢
Buy impact
$1000.7¢+0.6
$5001.5¢+1.4
$1K2.6¢+2.5

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About this market

1,113 whale wallets have traded "Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $1.27M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 23,684 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 57% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to SAPolitcsSeer at $72K. CrowdIntel has flagged 41 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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