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W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Volume
$6,272,565
Total Bets
76608
Unique Traders
11977
Avg Price
82c
Buy / Sell
53%/47%
Alerts
43
Volume Sentiment
YES 3.4M
NO 2.8M
Smart Money Intelligence
Whale Sentiment
BULLISH
2 whales
Whale Volume
115.2K
YES 100% / NO 0%
Avg Holder WR
79%
20 with data
First trade: 7 months agoLast: 24 days agoResolved: 24 days ago
Top Holders (Yes)
1EL
elmcap2whale
$199,86890% WR+$2,012,654
2ALallenzzzbot
$148,76590% WR+$63,872
3COcooler-
$102,56797% WR+$373
40X0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001bot
$91,36671% WR+$85,934
58989hjk
$73,08950% WR-$10,633
6COCongMingLabsbot
$71,53481% WR+$237,118
7BAbaofu168
$67,89498% WR+$3,120
8LBLBZonewhale
$66,13754% WR-$54,651
9NOnotsosure6
$64,103100% WR+$39,011
10212100mbot
$64,07993% WR+$1,936
Top Holders (No)
10X
0xC97b0b2A2547bB3eD57167092EF8a6e816C347E5-1770003388001bot
$222,20071% WR+$85,934
2090943bot
$123,79764% WR+$2,358,021
38989hjk
$73,68150% WR-$10,633
4COCongMingLabsbot
$71,86581% WR+$237,118
5BAbaofu168
$69,09898% WR+$3,120
6212100mbot
$64,20593% WR+$1,936
7NONotMasterFanbot
$43,73692% WR+$9,132
8LOLOVE5580bot
$41,34992% WR-$28,625
9JXJX.bot
$40,69752% WR-$675
10WIwillydhbot
$37,33771% WR-$51,464
WalletScoreSideSizeWhen
WalletSidePriceSizeP<ime
About this market
11,977 whale wallets have traded "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $6.27M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 76608 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 55% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.
The largest tracked position belongs to 0xc97b…47e5 at $222K. CrowdIntel has flagged 43 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.