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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsResolved: No
Volume
6.3M
Traders
2,658
Trades
76,568
Resolved
3 months ago
first 9 months ago
100¢Yes50¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volume
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 115.1K buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR85%18 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 92% vs sellers 78% WR
Order Flow
Buys
49% · 40,423
657.9K
Sells
51% · 36,145
677K

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

2,658 whale wallets have traded "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $6.27M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 76,568 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 49% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to qmarktea2 at $125K. CrowdIntel has flagged 29 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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