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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(34)
Volume
29.5M
Traders
1,377
Trades
390,949
Last trade
about 3 hours ago
first about 1 year ago
96¢Yes46¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 384 buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR68%12 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 72% vs sellers 63% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH34 whales · 725.3K vol
BUY 470.2K
SELL 255.1K
Buy side
65%
Sell side
35%
Order Flow
Buys
63% · 200,775
1.7M
Sells
37% · 190,174
991.4K
Pricesnapshot 1s agoDepth
3.9¢spread 0.1¢
Buy impact
$1004.0¢+0.1
$5004.0¢+0.1
$1K4.0¢+0.1

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About this market

1,377 whale wallets have traded "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $29.51M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 390,949 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 63% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to 0x51df…458f at $253K. CrowdIntel has flagged 46 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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