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CrowdIntel/ dossier

Issue №125 · Apr 24 · 2026

◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics

16 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0x0b5c…db2a· 465 bets · $1.4M routed

16 wallets funded by 0x0b5c...db2a placed 465 bets on geopolitics markets. 385 of 465 resolved bets won (83%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $1.4M. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.

Bayesian win rate

83%

Confidence

96%

Z-score

17.43σ

Cluster PnL

+$387.3K

◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster

Bucked consensus

0 wins

avg bet $3.0K

◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder

◆ Wallet roster16 linked · click to open dossier

Wallet	Bets	Win rate	PnL
0xda5f…2e9b	122	75%	-$79.6K
JhonAlexanderHinestroza	30	87%	+$400.4K
0xe6f3…2568	26	85%	-$1.8K
0xfe72…f18c	8	88%	+$6.8K
Waguri	16	81%	-$861
TheBrainiac	31	90%	-$1.7K
0x53d3e5320bfD5fD42629c0C0d0De160Bcf19ba87-1764987546075	7	86%	-$14.2K
JasonPunos	4	100%	+$5.0K
Dex777	28	82%	-$863
Toncar16	4	75%	+$71.2K
unsecured7308	37	92%	+$2.8K
0x22b0…ef31	8	75%	-$1.2K
skazer	119	85%	-$324
0xda14…1627	4	75%	+$1.7K
gatschmahala	17	88%	-$279
DuckVagabond	4	75%	+$262