CrowdIntelCrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №356791
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-356791-50 · Jul 23, 10:10 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 50/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 4771 resolved bets, 51% win rate, +$1.2M lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 8¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter Consensus Depth
+50
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
May 9, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0x4776…927d — this wallet shares its funder with 4 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$1.5M.
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