US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

SELL@ 18¢·$903·0xeca0…e8f8whale

Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 2576 resolved bets, 49% win rate, +$79.8K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 18¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter Consensus Depth

+35

Infra Cluster Discount

-25

Skill Z Boost

+15

How it resolved

Final outcome

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

May 16, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0xf0fc…f52e — this wallet shares its funder with 37988 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$3.8M.